KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

On and Off Storms & Severe Weather Risk

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wednesday-surface-map-march-25-20091Rain chances will be increasing for Wednesday with additional rounds of severe-weather-risk-11showers and storms likely through Friday night.  Timing of when we will see the best rain chances remains difficult at best…dynamics should become quite favorable for showers and storms tomorrow morning as a front sags southward into the area and then begins to drift back to the north during the afternoon.

The focus for the heaviest storms and the possibility of severe weather should be confined to the central and northern severe-weather-risk-21part of the state through tomorrow.  The Storm Prediction Center has us hatched in for a slight risk of severe weather through the end of the week.  The main mode of any severe weather should be mostly wind damage and perhaps hail with better dynamics for the possibility of isolated tornadoes staying well north of the area tomorrow. Best guess at this time would have another hefty round of storms overnight Wednesday into early Thursday morning…with greatest risk of severe weather to the north and northeast of Acadiana.

The last and probably the most dynamic system, will approach by late Friday into Friday night which could bring a greater risk of severe weather and perhaps isolated tornadoes to the area Friday night.

The bottom line is that I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a few severe weather watches betweensevere-weather-risk-31 now and the end of the week.  Rainfall totals through Friday night are still expected to be in the 2-4 inch range with isolated areas possibly picking up twice that, especially in northern portions of Acadiana.

qpf-3-days-ending-friday-night1The Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts are quite robust from Central Louisiana east-northeastward through Alabama with some are quite possibly picking up more than 6 inches over a 3-4 day period.  Drier and cooler weather should arrive by Saturday afternoon with sunny and pleasant conditions likely for Sunday into early next week.

Written by Rob Perillo

March 24th, 2009 at 5:55 pm

Posted in Weather

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