KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

We are still expecting a rather comfortable Thanksgiving Day with highs in the mid-70s in spite of mostly cloudy skies.  A few quick moving scattered light showers will be possible with rain chances no higher than 20-30%.  As I have been alluding to over the last few days, the pattern gets complex into the weekend with a frontal boundary and a strong jet aloft allowing for scattered showers and/or periods of rain Friday with another disturbance rolling in for Saturday keeping rain chances in the area.  Rainfall totals should be in the .25-.75 inch range Friday and it’s debatable on whether we see soaking rains on Saturday.  The bulk of the weather system Saturday may manifest offshore in the Gulf, but we should get a better idea on that tomorrow.  Thereafter, if you believe the GFS Model, which I think is gaining more credibility from run to run, we could see the coldest air of the season moving in for Sunday into Monday.  At this point I wouldn’t expect much in the way of sunshine through Monday although we may see a few peaks Sunday and/or Monday.  So with mostly cloudy skies look for our mild highs in the lower 70s Saturday to drop into the 50s and eventually the 40s for Sunday morning.  Highs Sunday should be in the upper 40s to lower-mid 50s while the coldest air arrives Sunday night into Monday and Monday night…we could see a hard freeze for Tuesday morning based on the latest guidance I’m looking at…there will likely be more changes, but at least it looks like we’ll get to use our winter coats for a day or two.  A quick warm-up will occur for mid-next week with the chance of rain and or storms returning for late Wednesday or Thursday of next week.  Happy Thanksgiving!