Our short visit with nice and mild weather will depart Tuesday afternoon with a cold front that should bring scattered showers and storms to the area. Wind profiles aloft will be quite strong so a few strong storms will be possible with any threat of severe weather mainly from Central Louisiana on northeastward. Activity should be quick moving with activity ending by sunset tomorrow. Temperatures will warm into the low-mid-70s tomorrow but will quickly cool back down tomorrow night and for Wednesday. The next system to follow will take shape in Texas on Wednesday with strong warm air advection and a favorable jet stream aloft to develop storms in the Gulf late Wednesday night advancing toward the coast before morning. Any cells that develop late Wednesday night in the Gulf could become severe while a secondary threat of intense storms will develop with a squall line Thursday. As I mentioned in yesterday’s entry, there will be significant threat of severe storms and locally heavy rains. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Storm Prediction Center hatches much of Acadiana in for a moderate risk of severe storms by Thursday morning with tornadic/wind damaging cells possible. Drier, cooler weather should move in for Friday and Saturday with a return flow and warm weather expected for Sunday into Monday, may be in Mardi Gras. Scattered showers will be possible Sunday into Monday, and if the latest long range model is to be believed, wet conditions are a distinct possibility for Mardi Gras…so as we say, “stay tuned for the latest.”
Severe Weather Risk Increasing This Week
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