KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

Hurricane Hunters found a closed circulation with the disturbance in the extreme southwestern Gulf, the Bay of Campeche, and thus we have the thirteenth tropical depression of the season.  This system will likely stay in that part of Gulf over the next several days as higher pressure advances in from the north keeping our part of the Gulf safe from the system to the south.  TD 13 could become a tropical storm over the next day or so, if so the name will be Lorenzo.  This system should stay nearly stationary or drift southwestward over the next few days ultimately threatening parts of Mexico.  Meanwhile, more stable air will begin to shut down the tropical moisture plume across the region lowering the rain chances to 30% for tomorrow and Thursday.  Drier more comfortable air should move in for Friday and the weekend allowing for much more comfortable conditions, especially at night.  Elsewhere in the tropics, Tropical Storm Karen should remain an Atlantic system while another wave on its heels is showing some signs of organization.  Farther to the west an upper low and surface trough by Florida and a disturbance in the Eastern Caribbean remain disorganized.