A collective sigh of relief could be heard over the weekend as the ridge of high pressure following the upper low no cross the Texas coast has continued to usher Dean on a westerly track. Dean will make landfall tonight on the Yucatan Peninsula south of Tulum with Cancun and Cozumel being spared the major brunt of this storm. Dean will likely re-emerge in the Bay of Campeche by late tomorrow afternoon and should continue on to a second landfall south of Tampico in Mexico late Wednesday. We may see some healthy swells approach the coastal parishes on Wednesday which could help bring tides 1-2ft above normal with large breakers and rip currents possible especially across Cameron Parish. Elsewhere in the tropics, as Dave alluded to this morning, we are watching an area of disturbed weather in the Atlantic northeast of the Caribbean. This area remains disorganized but conditions are relatively favorable for the possibility of slow development over the next few days. But with the big ridge of high pressure west of this system it has no place to go for right now. The same high pressure will build into the region over the next few days knocking rain chances down and bringing temperatures back up into the mid-90s. By the weekend the ridge may weaken enough to allow for a few more scattered storms.
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