KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

It looks like our next weather-maker will be a little slower to get here, so rain chances will be highest Friday night into early Saturday.  Today’s models still indicate very strong wind dynamics and favorable vertical profiles conducive to producing wind damaging storms and maximizing atmospheric forcing for heavy rains.  The latest QPF guidance coming from the HPC indicates that we are on target for a 3-4 inch rain with isolated areas likely to get more than that.  In addition, I think that the strong southerly to southeasterly winds ahead of this system will likely cause some sort of coastal flooding.  Although there is no official guidance out there, tides running at least 2ft above normal is a distinct possibility.  Near term look for cool conditions tonight, with breezy and milder conditions tomorrow.  Clouds will increase tomorrow afternoon with the chance of patchy light rain as a warm front advances northward from the Gulf.