KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

Changes…and the Winter Forecast

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So far so good with our weather as we continue to be on a nice and cool roll.  Warmer temperatures remain in the forecast with a gradual increase in low level moisture through the rest of the weekend.  That means there will be increasing odds of seeing patchy dense fog by the morning hours along with partly cloudy afternoon skies.  A series of disturbances will be rolling at us from the southwest as we head into next week allowing for some scattered shower activity.  But the main shower and thunderstorm action should get here by late Wednesday into Thursday in response to the next cold front that should chill us back down for next weekend .We could see some beefy storms by early Thursday.

winter_outlook_temperature.jpg If you missed my winter forecast last night, here’s an update:  based on what the El Nino experts are saying and current trends, it looks like we’ll see a near normal temperature regime from December through February…which should give us a winter that will be colder than last year’s (we only had 3-4 freezing days last winter with virtually no readings reaching down into the upper 20s).  Rainfall should stay at or above normal which could translate to a slightly better winter_outlook_precipitation.jpgthan normal risk of frozen precipitation.  We average measurable snowfall in Acadiana once in every ten years…this year may not bring much better chances of snow, but I would be willing to bet on a better chance of an ice or sleet event at some point this winter…but quantifying any event is nearly impossible.  But say a 20-30% chance of some sort of frozen precipitation event this year wouldn’t be a bad guess…okay stop the jokes!  The pattern of late has been contrary to the aforementioned forecast, but that happens in every day weather patterns.  Look for a definite change from our current weather pattern next week.  Happy Thanksgiving!

Written by Rob Perillo

November 23rd, 2006 at 7:29 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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