A large mass of rain moving through the area tonight will gradually weaken overnight with just a few renegade showers possible through mid-tomorrow morning. Tomorrow afternoon should be mostly sunny and warm with highs reaching back into the mid-80s. Big changes are still on tap for Thursday with a strong cold front crossing the region by Thursday evening. A squall line could be generated ahead of this front Thursday so there may be the threat of severe storms…right now we are not hatched in for a risk, but that forecast might change by this time tomorrow. Behind this front I expect very windy conditions Thursday night into Friday with lingering clouds likely behind the front for Friday. Temperatures should drop into the low-mid 50s for Thursday and Friday nights, while highs on Friday might not make it out of the 60s! Expect milder to eventually warmer conditions this weekend with over-running rains possible ahead of the front as it returns as a warm front form the Gulf. Best dynamics for precipitation should be for Sunday…but these systems are tricky to forecast so will see how it pans out. There continues to be signals for disturbances in the sub-tropical jet early nexy week that will bring scattered showers and locally heavy thunderstorms at least for Monday and Tuesday, perhaps beyond. The pattern looks favorable for above normal temperatures with wetter than normal conditions through a good part of this month.
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