The upper low in the west-central Gulf will continue to head westward toward the Texas and Mexico coastlines tomorrow with scattered storms the result over Acadiana. Coverage of the storms should be a little better than today, but drier more stable air should move in for Sunday thus lowering the rain probabilities. Another upper and surface disturbance should again enhance our rain chances beginning late Monday and continuing into Tuesday. Typical summer weather will follow mid-late next week with a possible surge of tropical moisture returning to the region for late next weekend. Daytime highs will continue on the low-mid 90s this weekend and much of next week.Â
The tropics remain very quiet, but the computer models continue to advertise that it will change. A disturbance that has emanated off of the African coast has plenty of potential to develop, but we have 10-14 days to watch it before we’ll have to worry about it, if at all. The models have also been flagging that something will develop in the SW Caribbean and surge toward the southern Gulf late next week, but as of this writing I can’t seem to identify what the models are grabbing on to. Sometimes in this area the models get fooled by future Pacific systems as they can’t decipher what ocean the tropical surge will develop in. Bottom line: be ready for us to be talking about something by late next week. Program note: “Lessons from the Gulf†KATC’s Hurricane Special will air again Saturday evening at 5:00pm. Have a good weekend.Â
Rob Perillo